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Catastrophic & Existential Risk

catastrophic_risk · Cross-jurisdiction AI-governance topic

Source: https://policywindow.org/wiki/catastrophic-risk

Generated 2026-05-30T22:15:02 UTC

Summary

Governance of model capabilities that could cause mass casualties or civilisational-scale harms (CBRN uplift, autonomous replication, deceptive alignment). Distinct from EU AIA 'systemic risk' which targets market-scale rather than catastrophic-scale harms.

At a glance

Instruments governing: 11
Instruments in conflict: 0
Instruments silent: 12
Contested question: Are current frontier-model capabilities a meaningful contribution to catastrophic-risk probability? Field is split between catastrophic-risk-as-imminent (FLI, CAIS) and catastrophic-risk-as-speculative (Pope et al., Andersson) positions.

How to cite this article

APA

Policy Window. (n.d.). Catastrophic & Existential Risk [Wiki article — Topic]. https://policywindow.org/wiki/catastrophic-risk

Chicago

Policy Window. n.d.. "Catastrophic & Existential Risk." Wiki article (Topic). https://policywindow.org/wiki/catastrophic-risk.

Harvard

Policy Window (n.d.) 'Catastrophic & Existential Risk', Wiki article — Topic, available at: https://policywindow.org/wiki/catastrophic-risk.

OSCOLA

Policy Window, 'Catastrophic & Existential Risk' (Wiki article — Topic, n.d.) <https://policywindow.org/wiki/catastrophic-risk> accessed [date].

BibTeX

@misc{policywindow-catastrophic-risk,
  title  = {Catastrophic & Existential Risk},
  author = {Policy Window},
  year   = {n.d.},
  howpublished = {Cross-jurisdiction policy topic, catastrophic_risk},
  url    = {https://policywindow.org/wiki/catastrophic-risk},
  note   = {Primary source: https://policywindow.org/wiki/catastrophic-risk}
}